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Writer's pictureGreg Doran

Goodhart's Law and Its Implications in Setting Goals, Targets, and KPIs In the landscape of business management and policy.

It depicts a calm office scene with a person working at a desk, accompanied by a performance chart that shows initial positive growth followed by a sharp decline. This symbolizes the effectiveness of a measure before and after it becomes a target. The scene's peaceful yet slightly ominous tone hints at the unseen consequences of misusing metrics.

Introduction

understanding the nuances of goal-setting and performance measurement is crucial. This brings us to an important concept known as Goodhart's Law. It's equally vital to distinguish between setting goals, targets, and Key Performance Indicators (KPIs), as these elements play a pivotal role in organisational strategy and execution.


Goodhart's Law: An Overview

Goodhart's Law, named after the British economist Charles Goodhart, famously stated in 1975, "When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure." This aphorism was later popularised in the world of economics by Marilyn Strathern, who rephrased it as, "When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure." Goodhart’s observation initially arose from his critique of British monetary policy but has since been applied broadly across various fields.


Understanding Goals, Targets, and KPIs

To appreciate Goodhart's Law, it's essential to understand the difference between goals, targets, and KPIs.


Goals:

Definition: Goals are broad primary outcomes or achievements an organisation aims to accomplish.

Example: Increasing customer satisfaction.

Characteristic: Goals are often qualitative and provide a general direction.


Targets:

Definition: Targets are specific, quantifiable benchmarks set to achieve a goal.

Example: Achieving a customer satisfaction score of 90%.

Characteristic: Targets are numeric and time-bound.


KPIs (Key Performance Indicators):

Definition: KPIs are metrics used to evaluate success in reaching targets.

Example: Monthly survey results measuring customer satisfaction.

Characteristic: KPIs are measurable values that indicate performance.


The Impact of Goodhart's Law

Goodhart's Law suggests that when a metric (like a KPI) is used as a target, it can lead to unintended consequences. For example, if employees are solely focused on hitting specific numeric targets, they may engage in behaviours that superficially meet these targets but do not genuinely contribute to the overall goal.


Real-World Application:

In education, if a school’s performance is measured purely by test scores (a KPI), teachers might 'teach to the test', improving scores but not necessarily student understanding, which is the real goal.


Navigating Goodhart's Law in Business and Policy

Understanding Goodhart's Law is crucial for managers and policymakers. It emphasises the need for a careful balance between setting specific targets and ensuring these targets don't undermine the original goals. This balancing act requires continuous monitoring and a willingness to adjust strategies in response to observed behaviours and outcomes.


Conclusion

Goodhart’s Law serves as a reminder of the complexities involved in measurement and target-setting. While goals, targets, and KPIs are essential tools in management and policy, they need to be designed and implemented thoughtfully to avoid the pitfalls highlighted by Goodhart's Law. In doing so, organisations and governments can ensure that the metrics they use genuinely contribute to the advancement of their broader objectives.

While metrics and targets are indispensable in driving performance and progress, they must be employed with a deep understanding of their potential impacts and limitations, keeping the broader goals in focus.


Further reading, you might find the following sources helpful: These references provide a more in-depth exploration of the topics and can be used for a deeper understanding or academic research.


Goodhart's Law:

Goodhart, Charles. (1975). "Problems of Monetary Management: The U.K. Experience". This is where Charles Goodhart originally formulated the principle that later became known as Goodhart's Law.


Understanding Goals, Targets, and KPIs:

Kaplan, R.S., & Norton, D.P. (1996). "The Balanced Scorecard: Translating Strategy into Action." Harvard Business School Press. This book provides insights into the development and use of KPIs in business strategy.


Doran, G. T. (1981). "There’s a S.M.A.R.T. way to write management’s goals and objectives." Management Review, 70(11), 35-36. This article introduces the concept of SMART goals, which is relevant to the understanding of goal-setting in organizations.


Application and Analysis of Goodhart's Law:

Strathern, Marilyn. (1997). "‘Improving ratings’: audit in the British University system." European Review, Vol. 5, Issue 3, pp. 305-321. This paper discusses the application of Goodhart's Law in the context of academic performance metrics.


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